Carolyn Knispel

The REALTORS® Association of Edmonton reports that residential property prices in the Edmonton CMA1 were up again in March. The all-residential price (includes single family detached, condominiums, duplexes and row-houses) rose 3.5% in a month and single family detached prices were up 3.9%. Compared to March 2012, the all residential price was up 4.3% and the SFD price was up 7.0%.

“The average price increases are influenced by the prices paid on particular properties as well as the product mix in the period,” said President Darrell Cook. “Because of a shortage of lower priced homes, the average price is pushed up as buyers move up-market to find a home. The increase in average price may not increase the market value of a particular property.” The relative number of homes sold in the $450-650k price range increased from 12.2% to 14.5% year-over-year while homes under $300,000 dropped from 40.7% of the market to 38.2%.

The average price for a single family detached home was $416,739 in March, condos were priced at $246,574 (up 6.3% m/m), duplex and rowhouses at $316,110 (down 4.9% m/m) and the all-residential average price was $354,759. SFD prices peaked in May of 2007 at $424,400.

The demand for homes in the Edmonton area continues to be driven by net job creation and low unemployment, economic stability and low rental vacancy rates. Sales were brisk with the sales-to-listing ratio up at 57% for March which indicates that almost six of the ten homes listed during the month were sold. Days-on-market was down from 57 in February to 50 in March.

The number of homes available for sale in the MLS® System inventory was up from 4,183 to 4,741 in March. While this is an increase of 558 properties from last month, it is down 15.4% from the same time last year. The lower inventory is exerting upward pressure on prices but has a dampening effect on sales. “When first time buyers cannot find a house that meets their needs or are forced into a multiple offer situation, they often remain on the sidelines,” said Cook. “Low interest rates and rising rental rates create the interest and desire but lack of suitable properties means they are not able to make the transition to home ownership at this time.”

REALTORS® are facing some multiple offer situations on lower-priced property but overall, the market remains in balance with neither buyers nor sellers having an advantage in most neighbourhoods.

Residential sales in the Edmonton CMA were up 1.14% in March as compared to March 2012. There were 1,497 estimated sales (1,386 reported) on listings of 2,422 during the month. SFD sales were down 6.63% from last year but condo sales more than compensated at 8.84% y/y increase. Note that sales numbers are estimated to reflect late reported sales and make a more accurate comparison with prior month actual sales.

MLS® System Activity (for all-residential sales in Edmonton CMA1)

1 Census Metropolitan Area (Edmonton and surrounding municipalities)
2 Single Family Dwelling
3 The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
4 The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
5 Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
6 Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

The REALTORS® Association of Edmonton reports that the housing market in the Edmonton CMA1 remains active. Residential listing activity was up 10% as compared to January and sales increased by 18.2%. The all-residential price (includes single family detached, condominiums, duplexes and row-houses) rose 4.3% in a month.

While the average price for a single family detached home broke through a psychological barrier at $400,973 in February ($399,832 in January), it was up just 0.3%. Condo prices showed stronger gains, rising 7.3% from January to $231,866. Duplex and rowhouse prices were also up month-over-month at $332,285 on average. The all-residential average price was $342,735 (up 2.9% from February 2012).

“REALTORS® were busier last month than in January both listing and selling more homes,” said President Darrell Cook. “As usual, sales activity will continue to increase as we move into spring. The inventory of available homes has increased and we expect hesitant sellers to come onto the market in the face of continuing strong prices.”

The pattern of sales in various price ranges has changed this year. “Confidence in the strength of our local economy and a shortage of attractiveproperties at the lower end of the price range are both moving consumers to consider higher priced properties,” said Cook. Sales of properties priced $425,000 to $550,000 have increased 19% so far this year, whereas sales of properties in the $200,000 to $375,000 range are down 9.6% compared to the first two months of 2012.

As of February 28, 2013, there were 4,183 residential properties listed in the MLS® System which reflects a 4.14 month supply at current sales levels. The days-on-market was 57 as compared to 53 last year. With an estimated 1,089 (1,008 reported) homes sold and 1,995 homes listed in February, the sales-to-listing ratio was 55%, up 4% from a year ago. Total Board sales for February were $470,309,954.

The figures above represent the sales in the Edmonton CMA1 as defined by Statistics Canada and includes the City of Edmonton and all municipalities in the four surrounding counties of Parkland, Sturgeon, Leduc, and Strathcona. Sales figures for February 2013 have been adjusted to anticipate sales during the month which will be reported after the data cut-off so as to compare more accurately with prior period figures.

REALTORS® in the Edmonton CMA and surrounding areas (including St. Paul and Cold Lake) contribute actual negotiated list and sale prices on a daily basis and are the most reliable source of pricing data in each local area and the entire market.

MLS® System Activity (for all-residential sales in Edmonton CMA1)

1 Census Metropolitan Area (Edmonton and surrounding municipalities)
2 Single Family Dwelling
3 The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
4 The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
5 Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
6 Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

Year-over-year average prices and sales were up for most types of residential property in the Edmonton Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) in January. Single Family Dwelling (SFD) average prices were down 1.93% from December but up 7.7% when compared to January 2012. Condominium prices were also down (-3.1%) month-over-month but up 1.7% year-over-year. The all-residential price was up year-over-year at $328,525 (up 2.5%). The average price for an SFD was $399,832. An average condo was priced at $216,139, while a duplex/row house was priced at $328,351 on average. The all-residential average price in the Edmonton CMA was $328,525 as compared to $320,482 in January 2012.

The 2013 year started off with a residential sales increase of 27 (25) units over the previous year. There were an estimated 921 (853 reported) residential sales in the Edmonton CMA and an estimated total of 1,084 (1,005 reported) sales of all types of property. SFD sales were down 1.4% from a year ago at 536 estimated (496 reported) sales. Condo and duplex/row house sales took up the slack with an estimated 286 (265 reported) condo sales (up 30.7%) and duplex/row house estimated sales of 64 (59 reported) units (up 24.9%).  

“If there is an impending national housing crash, it is not evident in Edmonton,” said President Darrell Cook. “The number of price reductions is 4% lower than the same month last year.” The number of residential properties in the City of Edmonton that sold at or over list price rose from 9% in January 2012 to 12.6% this year. “This indicates that homes are appropriately priced for the market and that more home sellers are holding firm to their asking price,” said Cook.

The average days-on-market was 74 and the sales-to-listing ratio ended the month at 47%. There are currently 3,743 residential properties in inventory in the Edmonton CMA. This is lower than the five-year average for January (4,324) but still represents a 4.4 month supply at current sales levels.

REALTORS® changed their statistics reporting format this month. Sales and average price figures are given for the Edmonton CMA which includes the City of Edmonton and about 40 surrounding municipalities as defined by Statistics Canada. Then, because sales in the City of Edmonton account for about 75% of all sales, the figures are given for Edmonton only. Finally, communities and counties outside the CMA are not forgotten. The number of sales for each municipality along with average/median prices and total value of sales are provided in the Total Board section. All three reports are attached.

“All real estate is local,” said Cook. “It is important that we provide statistics that are relevant to each specific location. REALTORS® can provide their clients with more granularity or more specific details at the neighbourhood level.”

Highlights of MLS® System activity

1 Census Metropolitan Area (Edmonton and surrounding municipalities)
2 Single Family Dwelling
3 The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
4 The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
5 Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
6 Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

The local housing market in 2012 ended as it began, with robust sales, slowly increasing prices, stability and an optimistic swagger. The average all-residential price in December was $333,140, up 1.5% from the previous month. The price in December 2011 was $316,020. Sales during December were 31.0% down from November and 16.8% down from last December. Note: for comparison purposes current month sales figures have been adjusted to account for late reported sales and terminations; actual reported numbers as of month end are in square brackets.

The average price for a single family detached property on the Edmonton Multiple Listing Service® in December was $391,427, up 2.5% month/month and 6.8% year/year. Condominium prices were up marginally (0.02%) from last month and sold on average for $225,143 in December. Duplex/row houses were priced at $297,753 on average (down 4.3% m/m). REALTORS® listed 1,026 [950] residential properties in December and sold 789 [731] properties. This resulted in a sales-to-listing ratio of 77% as compared to 73% in November. At month-end there were 4,354 residential properties in the inventory which is down 18.6% from a year ago. Sales were slower in December with average days-on-market up two to 66 days.

“Although sales and listing activity were slower this December than in previous years, prices continued their slow steady rise,” said President Doug Singleton. “Total sales for the year were up. The Finance Minister toyed with the mortgage qualification rules at the beginning of the year but otherwise this market operated in a smooth and stable manner. REALTORS® and their clients could trade in real estate with confidence and certainty.”

The price of an average single family detached home rose 6.8% during 2012 and the all-residential average price rose 5.4%. Sales were also higher in 2012 than the year previous with 18,020 residential sales and 20,393 total MLS® sales. Except for 2009 these were the highest sales numbers in five years. Listing activity, however, was lower than the previous three years. This dropped the available inventory of homes available on the local MLS® System to just 4,354 properties on December 31; the lowest level the inventory has been at since December 2009. 

The highest average price for a single family detached home in the Edmonton area in 2012 was in June at $393,471 with the lowest price point being January at $364,106. The all-residential average price followed a similar pattern with the highest average price in May at $348,196 and the lowest point in January at $318,906. Condo prices peaked in May at $248,846 after rising from the January low point at $216,622.

The growth of the Edmonton market is also reflected in the increased number of higher priced properties sold. There were 403 residential properties sold for over $700,000 in 2012, including 89 priced at one million or more. In 2008, just 1.63% of homes were in the $700,000 or above category. Last year 2.23% of the sold properties were at that level. The most expensive property sold in 2012 was valued at $2.72 million. Six owners in total picked up properties located in Crestwood, Magrath Heights, Windsor Park, Hodgson, Twin Brooks and Westridge each valued at $2 million or more.

Activity (for all residential sales on Edmonton MLS® System)

¹ The total value of sales in a category divided by the number of properties sold
² Single Family Dwelling
³ The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
⁴ Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
⁵ Includes residential, rural and commercial sales

¹ Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual changes for a particular property, which may vary from house to house and area to area. Prior period figures have been adjusted to include late reported sales and cancellations and therefore reflect a more accurate view of the period than previously reported at month end. The RAE trading area includes communities beyond the CMA (Census Metropolitan Area) and therefore average and median prices may include sold properties outside the CMA.